KFS Fire Forecast

Fuels: Some much needed moisture fell across the western third of Kansas over the last week with more expected this week. This will continue to initiate green-up and moderate fuels conditions in the region. ERCs are projected in the west to remain at to slightly below the 50th percentile with reduced fire activity as a result. This will increase suppression success and lower spread rates and spotting potential, along with a more discontinuous fire landscape. Further east, green-up has become well established and has greatly reduced fire activity. However, drying is ongoing with limited moisture and little widespread precipitation forecasted. This will push ERCs towards the 50th percentile and behavior will be increased in areas where dormant fuels remain dominant. Otherwise, fire landscape will struggle to carry fire with limited to no large fire potential. .  Statewide Preparedness Level:     Forecast:   Monday, May 4th A weak low pressure system will develop d...