12/8/25 Forecast (12/8 - 12/15)

Fuels:

Periods of light precipitation, fog/clouds and higher moisture have kept fuels relatively moist. Only fine fuels are occasionally available during the afternoon when the sun comes out. Otherwise, receptivity to fire is relatively low and there are copious barriers to fire spread on the landscape. There is expected to be a gradual increase in overall drying as no significant moisture is in the forecast for the next week or so. This will likely begin to impact fuels conditions later in the period. However, shortest days of the year and a rather benign weather pattern will lead to below average fire activity regardless. 

 

Statewide Preparedness Level: 1

 

Forecast:


Monday, December 8th

Becoming mostly sunny with winds southerly and reaching the 20mph range in central/east Kansas. However, higher humidity near 50% will keep fire weather concerns low in this region. Further west, winds shift westerly but remain generally light. This will push drier air into west Kansas with afternoon humidity dropping into the upper 20% range and slightly warmer temperatures. Overall, fire weather concerns remain low. 

 

 


 

Tuesday, December 9th

Winds transition southwest across the region and provide warmer/drier conditions. Temperatures will warm to 60F in the west and slightly cooler in the east. As a result, humidity will fall into the mid-20% range for most of the state. Winds will remain relatively light, strongest in the east where humidity will be slightly higher. Fire weather will be increased compared to previous days but remain below elevated fire levels. Winds shift northerly overnight with a strong cold front with gusts to 30mph into Wednesday. This will keep overnight recoveries only in the 40-50% range.  

 


 

Wednesday, December 10th

Temperatures will be ten or so degrees cooler than Tuesday. Winds will be northerly with some gusts to 25mph early, gradually weakening from west to east and becoming more southwesterly. Overall dry conditions will persist with afternoon minimum humidity in the upper 20% range. 

 

 

   

   

Thursday, December 11th

Winds out of the south will keep moisture streaming northward into the region. This will keep humidity higher than Wednesday with minimums in the 40% range. Temperatures will increase a few degrees across the region. Weak front will push into northwest Kansas late afternoon with a shift to the northwest and drier air. Front will surge southeast overnight into Friday with winds shifting northerly and gusting to 30mph. This will again keep overnight humidity moderated with minimums in the 40-50% range. Overall, no fire weather concerns. 


 

 


Friday, December 12th

Much colder with gusty northerly winds reaching the 40mph range. Humidity will remain higher with periods of clouds. This should limit any fire weather concerns.  

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Saturday, December 13th

Winds shift southerly in advance of a quick moving clipper system. This will allow temperatures to climb a few degrees compared to Friday. Continued moderated air mass will keep humidity up for most of the state. However, a weak front will push into western Kansas in the late afternoon. This will allow the far western counties to have temperatures warm and humidity drop, potentially as low as 20%. These downsloping winds will be relatively light and result in no fire weather concerns. 


 

Sunday, December 14th

Winds shift east/southeast and advect moisture and clouds into the region in advance of yet another clipper like system, albeit a stronger one. This will keep humidity up and temperatures cool. No fire weather concerns. Some scattered moisture possible, mostly in southeast Kansas.  

 

 

  

Monday, December 8th

Potent cold front cross the region early in the morning. This will scour away the moisture and shift winds northerly with gusts to the 30mph range. Overall, cooler temperatures are expected with moderated humidity resulting in little to no fire weather concerns. 

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Chip (12/8/25)

Next forecast: 12/15/25

 

Risk Humidity Wind Other
          Elevated  
Around 20% Sustained, greater than 10mph
Gusting, greater than 20mph		 Less than Red Flag Warning criteria usually and fire is able to move rapidly
Critical Around 15% Sustained, greater than 20mph
Gusting, greater than 30mph		 Expect Red Flag Warning criteria to be met and very rapid growth likely
Extreme Around 10% Sustained, greater than 35mph
Gusting, greater than 40mph		 Historical fire weather event possible with extreme growth likely

Please note, forecast is only updated twice weekly unless significant fire risk evolves.

























 

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