6/2/25 Forecast (6/2 - 6/9)

Fuels:

Despite drying over the weekend with sunny skies and warmer temperatures, the fire environment remains very non-conducive to fire spread. Last week's moisture led to improvements in drought indices and fuel moisture. Despite the recent dry trend, this week will bring a return to precipitation chances. This will continue to limit the fire environment with predicted improvements in fire danger indices through the period. Any fire will likely remain very isolated with fuels resistant to spread. Some cool season grasses are starting to mature in the east and could provide some increased fuel availability should a longer warm/dry period develop.


Statewide Preparedness Level: 2

 

Growing Season Index: 

 

 

Forecast:


Monday, June 2nd

Very warm with temperatures near the 90F. Moisture will increase with a with breezy southerly winds gusting to 35mph. Afternoon humidity will actually increase into the mid-40% range. This will limit fire weather concerns. A few late afternoon storms in western Kansas with scattered precipitation spreading east overnight.


 

 

Tuesday, June 3rd

Widespread showers and thunderstorms with cooler temperatures as a cold front slowly pushes southeast across the state. No fire weather concerns. Drier air will push into the northwest part of the state in the afternoon with breezy northerly winds.

 

 

Wednesday, June 4th

Cooler temperatures continue with drier air in place for all but the far southeast. There, a stalled cold front will linger and provide a focus for continued thunderstorm activity. Afternoon humidity will fall into the mid-40% range. Winds will gradually become southeast in advance in the next system. 



Thursday, June 5th

Temperatures will warm about 10 degrees warmer than Wednesday with highs near 80. Afternoon thunderstorms are expected to develop in western Kansas. These will push slowly eastward in the evening. Clouds and increased humidity will limit fire weather.

 

 

Friday, June 6th

High pressure builds in the wake of an early morning cold front. Cooler temperatures forecasted with minimum afternoon humidity in the low 50% range. 


 

 

Saturday, June 7th

Temperatures rebound with light southerly winds. Continued higher humidity will cease any fire weather concerns. Some scattered showers/thunderstorms for southern Kansas in the late afternoon. 

 

 

Sunday, June 8th

High pressure persists with temperatures warming into the low 90s for much of the state. Afternoon humidity in the western half of the state will fall into the upper 20% range. Winds will remain light however, mitigating any fire weather concerns.

 

 

Monday, June 9th

Weak cold front pushes south into the state with slightly cooler temperatures, increased humidity and scattered showers/thunderstorms. No fire weather concerns. 

 

 

Chip (6/2/25)

Next forecast: 6/9/25

 

Risk Humidity Wind Other
          Elevated  
Around 20% Sustained, greater than 10mph
Gusting, greater than 20mph		 Less than Red Flag Warning criteria usually and fire is able to move rapidly
Critical Around 15% Sustained, greater than 20mph
Gusting, greater than 30mph		 Expect Red Flag Warning criteria to be met and very rapid growth likely
Extreme Around 10% Sustained, greater than 35mph
Gusting, greater than 40mph		 Historical fire weather event possible with extreme growth likely

Please note, forecast is only updated twice weekly unless significant fire risk evolves.







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