8/18/25 Update

 Chip is currently on a wildfire assignment and will be unable to update this blog until he returns (about two weeks most likely). 

 Sorry for the inconvenience.  

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10/6/25 Forecast (10/6 - 10/13)

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Fuels: After accelerated drying with above normal temperatures, clouds and moisture have returned to start the week. This will briefly moderate the fire environment into mid-week. However, with a return to warming again by late week, drying is expected to return. Cured, brown crops will react like a one hour fuel and become available during sunny days with warm/dry conditions. Even with some recent moisture, the landscape is slowly becoming more dormant as we get further into the fall. ERCs are expected to rebound back to near 50th percentile by the weekend. Additionally, increased wind will push BIs above the 50th percentile and fire behavior is expected to increase as a result after Friday and through the weekend. Spread will still be limited to cured fuels (mostly cropland) with continued numerous barriers to spread on the landscape. This should limit fire size, however, increase potential in spotting will occur as winds become stronger this weekend, potentially increasing suppressi...
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Fuels: Prolonged dry period continues across the state with as many as two weeks without wetting moisture in the east and 3-4 weeks in the west. With above normal temperatures expected this week, the fire environment is expected to respond towards higher fuel receptivity despite the shortest days of the year. Afternoon sun and periods of wind will increase fire behavior, making fire suppression more difficult. Behavior overall will remain limited to continuous fine fuels with heavier fuels and timber areas still holding over moisture and limiting fire growth. As the period continues, spread within these higher moisture areas may become possible and some large fire potential may be possible. This will be especially the case during higher winds. Overall fire behavior will continue to uptick until substantial moisture occurs which seems unlikely for the rest of the month.    Statewide Preparedness Level:  1   Forecast: Monday, December 15th Elevated fire weather in sout...
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