5/27/25 Forecast (5/27 - 6/3)

 

Fuels:

Widespread moisture has occurred over the last week for the entire state. As a result, all indicies have seen substantial improvement in the fire environment. Any fire potential will be extremely isolated to nearly impossible until longer term drying once again becomes established. The one area that has been drier than normal with recent moisture is the northwest. However, good overnight recoveries and high humidity overall will limit fire concerns.


Statewide Preparedness Level: 2

 

 

Growing Season Index: 

 

 

Forecast:


Tuesday, May 27th

Periods of showers with persisting overcast. Cooler than normal temperatures continue with high humidity statewide. 


 

 

Wednesday, May 28th

Another weak storm system crosses the region with widespread afternoon showers/storms. Many areas will observe another wetting rain with continued below normal temperatures. 



Thursday, May 29th

Lingering showers and a few thunderstorms, especially in southern Kansas. A few peeks of sunshine possible late in the day for the north. 


 

 

Friday, May 30th

Finally some clearing and much more sunshine. This will allow temperatures to climb closer to 80, near normal. Light southwest winds. No fire weather concerns with lingering moisture. .


 

 

Saturday, May 31st

Continued warmer conditions. An afternoon cold front will push south and east into the state. This will bring with it a broken band of clouds, showers and a few severe thunderstorms. Highest confidence in moisture is the far northeast. Overall, slightly drier with afternoon humidity in the 40% range. 

 

Sunday, June 1st

Much warmer with slight south-southeast winds. This will allow afternoon humidity to fall into the 30% range for most of the state, welcomed dry conditions. No fire weather concerns. 


 

 

 

Monday, June 2nd

A more pronounced storm system will begin to eject across the Rockies. That will allow for southerly flow to develop across the Plains and a dryline to work into western Kansas. West of this dryline, afternoon humidity will fall into the mid-20% range. Some very brief elevated fire weather may develop along the CO border in areas that missed recent moisture. Scattered storms possible for central Kansas. 

 

Tuesday, June 3rd

System slowly moves east with dryline pushing into central Kansas. Overall wind will be weaker with more moderated humidity west of the dryline. Thus, no fire weather concerns exist. A few scattered storms possible in central/east Kansas.

 

 

Chip (5/27/25)

Next forecast: 6/2/25

 

Risk Humidity Wind Other
          Elevated  
Around 20% Sustained, greater than 10mph
Gusting, greater than 20mph		 Less than Red Flag Warning criteria usually and fire is able to move rapidly
Critical Around 15% Sustained, greater than 20mph
Gusting, greater than 30mph		 Expect Red Flag Warning criteria to be met and very rapid growth likely
Extreme Around 10% Sustained, greater than 35mph
Gusting, greater than 40mph		 Historical fire weather event possible with extreme growth likely

Please note, forecast is only updated twice weekly unless significant fire risk evolves.






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